We examine the predictive ability of the aggregate earnings yield for market returns and earnings growth by estimating variance decompositions at multiple horizons. Based on weighted long-horizon regressions, we find that most of the variation in the earnings yield is due to return...

The economic turbulence experienced during the COVID-19 crisis in Indonesia in 2020 provides a backdrop for this study, which aims to investigate the relationship between the crisis and dividend policies within the real estate and property sectors in Indonesia, along with the stock market's...

The economic turbulence experienced during the COVID-19 crisis in Indonesia in 2020 provides a backdrop for this study, which aims to investigate the relationship between the crisis and dividend policies within the real estate and property sectors in Indonesia, along with the stock market's...

We compare the stock return forecasting performance of alternative payout yields. The net payout yield produces more accurate forecasts relative to alternatives, including the traditional dividend yield. This remains true even after excluding several years during the Great Depression when...

There is a generalized conviction that variation in dividend yields is exclusively related to expected returns and not to expected dividend growth - e.g. Cochrane's presidential address (Cochrane (2011)). We show that this pattern, although valid for the aggregate stock market, is not true for...

This study investigates the informational effect of stock liquidity on dividend payouts. Using a sam- ple of Polish listed companies during 2000 - 2012, I do not find a relation between stock liquidi- ty and dividend payouts. This result is robust to the use of alternative measures of liquidity,...

In this paper, we derive an intertemporal dividend-surprise-augmented asset-pricing model and show that the expected risk premium compensates for stock returns’ exposure to (i) the market-wide dividend-surprise hedge portfolio based on dividend yield surprise and volatilities, in addition to...

Dividend reinvestment plans (DRIPs) with discount offer shareholders the choice between receiving cash dividends or additional shares at a discount. We provide evidence on DRIP arbitrage where DRIP arbitrageurs extract the DRIP discount through short-term equity borrowing. We show the relation...

We examine stock prices and the number of stocks traded around ex-dividend dates of German stocks with tax-free dividend. Tax-free dividends are temporarily tax-exempt, as they reduce the initial purchasing price of a stock. With our analysis of this particular group of German stocks, we can...

This paper investigates the effect of liquidity on the ex-dividend day price premium. It is well documented that prices drop less than the dividend amount on the ex-day; this market inefficiency is generally attributed to the tax-induced clientele effect and various structural frictions. We show...