Building on recent developments in behavioral asset pricing, we develop a model in which an increase in the dispersion of investor beliefs under short-selling constraints predicts a "bubble," or a rise in a stock's price above its fundamental value. Our model predicts that managers respond to...

Using asset prices I estimate the marginal value of capital in a dynamic stochastic economy under general assumptions about technology and preferences. The state-space measure of marginal q relies on the joint measurability of the value function, i.e. firm market value, and its underlying firm...

We take a simple q-theory model and ask how well it can explain external financing anomalies, both qualitatively and quantitatively. Our central insight is that optimal investment is an important driving force of these anomalies. The model simultaneously reproduces procyclical equity issuance...

This paper examines to what extent stock market anomalies are driven by firm fundamentals in an investment-based asset pricing framework. Using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), we estimate a two-capital q-model to match firm-level stock returns, instead of matching portfolio-level...

In weekly intervals, the Swiss stock research firm Obermatt publishes the top 10 stocks in a stock index based on four different investment strategies. This report describes the results of a back testing of this method. It uses prior year year-end financials to identify top 10 stock tips for a...

We investigate whether short-termism distorts the investment decisions of stock market listed firms. To do so, we compare the investment behavior of observably similar public and private firms using a new data source on private U.S. firms, assuming for identification that closely held private...

We document sizeable and surprising differences in investment behavior between stock market listed and privately held firms in the U.S. using a rich new data source on private firms. Listed firms invest substantially less and are less responsive to changes in investment opportunities compared to...

We examine the impact of mispricing on capital expenditures, R&D, acquisitions, and asset sales. By decomposing the market-to-book ratio into mispricing and growth components, we show that corporate investments are linked to mispricing through market-timing and catering, after controlling for...

We scrutinize the impact of dividend policy on stock price volatility by considering the seminal paper of Baskin (1989). In this context, we examine the relationship between volatility and three dividend policy indicators, dividend yield, dividend payout, and stock repurchases, for 1,221 firms...

We show the competing effects of a housing bubble on the real economy by developing a two-sector dynamic model with housing production. On the one hand, firms can sell or collateralize their houses to obtain financing, so a housing bubble helps firms obtain credit to finance their investment and...