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Equity option markets exhibit intense trading activity. We use the variability of option implied volatility spread as a …. Over the 2006 – 2016 period, we find that the predictive power of option implied volatility spread for future stock returns … is significantly greater when implied volatility spread has been more variable in the past. Our results are statistically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836056
In recent years there has been a remarkable growth of volatility options. In particular, VIX options are among the most … actively trading contracts at CBOE. These options exhibit upward sloping volatility skew and the shape of the skew is largely … independent of the volatility level. To take into account these stylized facts, this article introduces a novel two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033193
16:00) generally increases the variability of implied volatility spreads between puts and calls. In addition, it results … in considerable distortions at the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic and strongly affects aggregate implied volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296293
The aim of this paper is twofold: to investigate how the information content of implied volatility varies according to … moneyness and option type and to compare option-based forecasts with historical volatility. The different information content of … implied volatility is examined for the most liquid at-the-money and out-of-the-money options: put (call) options for strikes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110064
Inspired by the theory of social imitation (Weidlich 1970) and its adaptation to financial markets by the Coherent Market Hypothesis (Vaga 1990), we present a behavioral model of stock prices that supports the overreaction hypothesis. Using our dynamic stock price model, we develop a two factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636657
the derivation of a unique variance risk premium and price of volatility risk based only on the underlying return and … volatility dynamics for a wide class of stochastic volatility (SV) models. The SD approach also derives under similar conditions … volatility risk prices yield in option values in comparison to prices extracted from observed option market data. We also present …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309461
In a tractable stochastic volatility model, we identify the price of the smile as the price of the unspanned risks … traded in SPX option markets. The price of the smile reflects two persistent volatility and skewness risks, which imply a …-form and structural models of stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412294
We propose two new risk measures (i-beta and i-gamma) for a stock, which aim to distinguish between noise and information. Noise allows the stock price evolution to happen along a continuous path. Market wide economic information is transmitted via price jumps. Noise is idiosyncratic and does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124058
The quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility model is a stochastic volatility model where the volatility process is a … a simple integration against a Gaussian density; simulation of the volatility process is exact; and pricing SPX products …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255182
exposure to changes in the price of the underlying stock (delta), and exposure to changes in implied volatility (vega) are …-known market, size, book-to-market, momentum, and short-term reversal factors. Additional volatility, stock, and option market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111682