Showing 1 - 10 of 11,950
This paper proposes a new reduced-form model for the pricing of VIX derivatives that includes an independent stochastic jump intensity factor and co-jumps in the level and variance of VIX, while allowing the mean of VIX variance to be time-varying. I t the model to daily prices of futures and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838510
In this paper, we introduce two classes of indices which can be used to measure the market perception concerning the degree of dependency that exists between a set of random variables, representing different stock prices at a fixed future date. The construction of these measures is based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464790
We examine whether the option market leads the stock market with respect to positive in addition to negative price discovery. We document that out-of-themoney (OTM) option prices, which determine the Risk-Neutral Skewness (RNS) of the underlying stock return's distribution, can embed positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872403
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
nature of the answer when the volatility differential is due to the systematic/priced risk. Here the difference in the … direction and magnitude of the net effect depends on the levels of asset beta and volatility and the moneyness and maturity of … nonlinear derivatives, one should pay attention to the source of volatility differential, and the sample range/mix of betas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968263
the dynamics implied from the joint data but also in explaining the time series of option-implied volatility skew …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953236
An anchoring-adjusted option pricing model is developed in which the volatility of the underlying stock return is used … as a starting point that gets adjusted upwards to form expectations about call option volatility. I show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033252
The aim of this paper is twofold: to investigate how the information content of implied volatility varies according to … moneyness and option type and to compare option-based forecasts with historical volatility. The different information content of … implied volatility is examined for the most liquid at-the-money and out-of-the-money options: put (call) options for strikes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110064
Inspired by the theory of social imitation (Weidlich 1970) and its adaptation to financial markets by the Coherent Market Hypothesis (Vaga 1990), we present a behavioral model of stock prices that supports the overreaction hypothesis. Using our dynamic stock price model, we develop a two factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636657
multiple volatility factors. We first propose nonparametric estimates of marginal pricing kernels, conditional on the VIX and …. In particular, conditioning on volatility factors, the pricing kernel of market returns exhibit a downward sloping shape … up to the extreme end of the right tail. Moreover, the volatility pricing kernel features a striking U-shape, implying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975425