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Using an international dataset, this paper documents a negative association between increases in the central government debt-to-GDP ratio and dollar-denominated stock index returns. Depending on the estimation method, raising the debt ratio by one percentage point diminishes the stock returns by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912420
This paper studies a modern monetary economy: trade in both goods and securities relies on money provided by intermediaries. While money is valued for its liquidity, its creation requires costly leverage. Inflation, security prices and the transmission of monetary policy then depend on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914919
This paper proposes an equilibrium model for evaluating equity with optimal dividend policy in a jump-diffusion market. In this model, a representative investor having power utility over an aggregate consumption process evaluates the equity as the expected value of the discounted dividends with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971440
This paper examines the behavior of the market equilibrium in an endowment economy in continuous time, in which a representative investor with exponential utility consumes the dividends generated by multiple risky assets. The dividends are assumed to be mutually independent and belong to a class...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005749
This paper studies variance risk premiums in the Treasury market. We first develop a theory to price variance swaps and show that the realized variance can be perfectly replicated by a static position in Treasury futures options and a dynamic position in the underlying. Pricing and hedging is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008668
In a world of interconnected financial markets it is plausible that risk appetite — an important factor in asset pricing — is determined globally. By constructing an estimate of variance risk premia (VRP) for UK, US and euro-area equity markets, we are able to estimate international variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009853
This study investigated the linkage between the effects of an inverted yield curve and the performance of small, mid, and big cap stocks for the period 2005-2007. The comparative performance of small, mid and big cap stocks during the period was examined. In general, there seemed no significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955363
This study investigated the linkage between the effects of yield slope and the performance of stocks for the period, 2006-2012. The paper found a significant link between the two variables. The sharp increase of yield slope positively affected stock market performance of small, mid and big cap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955365
An alternative derivation of the yield curve based on entropy or the loss of information as it is communicated through time is introduced. Given this focus on entropy growth in communication the Shannon entropy will be utilized. Additionally, Shannon entropy's close relationship to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960959
We estimate forward-looking interest rate reaction functions in the spirit of Taylor (1993) for four major central banks augmented by implicit volatilities of stock market indices to proxy financial market stress. Our results suggest that the Bank of England, the Federal Reserve Bank and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988658