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Motivated by increment process modeling for two correlated random and non-random systems from a discrete-time asset pricing with both risk free asset and risky security, we propose a class of semiparametric regressions for a combination of a non-random and a random system. Unlike classical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008772580
This paper analyzes the impact of unemployment news on stock markets throughout the business cycle. We show dependence of the reaction to the economic environment by studying the reaction in multiple economic environments that are defined based on both the level and momentum of economic...
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Predicting volatility is a must in the finance domain. Estimations of volatility, along with the central tendency … research is to analyze the influence of COVID-19 on the return and volatility of the stock market indices of the top 10 … volatility remains higher than in normal periods, signaling a bearish tendency in the market. The COVID variable, as an exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012384430
pandemic: implied stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic policy uncertainty, twitter chatter about economic … greatly-from an 80 percent rise (relative to January 2020) in two-year implied volatility on the S&P 500 to a 20-fold rise in … forecaster disagreement about UK growth. Third, time paths also differ: implied volatility rose rapidly from late February and …
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It has been established in the literature that volatility of stock returns exhibits complex properties of not only … volatility clustering, but also long memory, regime change, and substantial outliers during turbulent and calm periods. Hence …, this paper seeks to analyze volatility spillover, co-movements, independence and contagion in the Chinese, Japanese …
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