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This paper studies the responses of residential property and equity prices, inflation and economic activity to monetary policy shocks in 17 countries, using data spanning 1986 - 2006. We estimate VARs for individual economies and panel VARs in which we distinguish between groups of countries on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010382339
-announcement times. We use a heteroskedasticity-based procedure to estimate a "Fed non-yield shock", which is orthogonal to yield changes … and is identified from excess volatility in the S&P 500 and various dollar exchange rates. A positive non-yield shock …-yield shock is essentially uncorrelated with previous monetary policy shocks and its effects are large in comparison. Its strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576665
Mainstream macroeconomic theory predicts a rapid response of asset prices to monetary policy shocks, which conventional empirical models are unable to reproduce. We argue that this is due to a deficient information set: Forward-looking economic agents observe vastly more information than the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980994
policy shock is ambiguous in both the short- and long-run, and depends on the nature of the mispricing. Subsequently, we … contractionary monetary policy shock in fact lowers stock prices beyond what is implied by the response of their underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526074
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
This paper reveals and tests a new theoretical implication of the credit channel of monetary policy: as financial frictions (monitoring or auditing costs) increase, the reaction of stock prices to monetary policy shocks decreases. Correspondingly, towards the end of the Enron accounting scandal,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395119
-run and long-run restrictions that maintains the qualitative properties of a monetary policy shock found in the established … fall by 1.5 per cent due to a monetary policy shock that raises the federal funds rate by ten basis points. A stock price … shock increasing stock prices by one per cent leads to an increase in the interest rate of five basis points. Stock price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223768
Recent empirical literature documents that unexpected changes in the nominal interest rates have a significant effect on stock prices: a 25-basis point increase in the Fed funds rate is associated with an immediate decrease in broad stock indices that may range from 0.5 to 2.3 percent, followed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123973
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on aggregate stock market returns in narrow event windows around press releases by the Federal Open Market Committee. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct (demand) effect and an indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953959
We study the importance of production networks for the transmission of macroeconomic shocks using the stock market reaction to monetary policy shocks as a laboratory. We decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct effect and a network effect and attribute 50 to 85...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956564