We merge the literature on downside return risk and liquidity risk and introduce the concept of extreme downside liquidity (EDL) risks. The cross-section of stock returns reflects a premium if a stock's return (liquidity) is lowest at the same time when the market liquidity (return) is lowest....

The risk premium of stocks due to priced variance risk is summarized to two variables -- the stock-specific price of variance risk (the difference between realized and option-implied variance) and the quantity (i.e., how stock prices respond to their variance shocks) of variance risk....

We investigate the pricing of market volatility risk as a risk factor – the innovation risk and as a characteristic risk – the level risk. We find that the pricing of the country-level (local) market volatility risk factor is not robust across 21 developed markets and that the global market...

This paper examines the impact of changes in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and COVID-19 shock on stock returns. Tests of 16 global stock market indices, using monthly data from January 1990 to August 2021, suggest a negative relation between the stock return and a country’s EPU. Evidence...

We investigate cross-sectional patterns related to dividends in the CEE stock market. We investigate a broad sample of 1153 companies from 11 countries in years 2002-2014. We use sorting and tests based on cross-sectional regression, and apply tests of monotonic relation. The principal findings...

This paper introduces a new out-of-sample forecasting methodology for monthly market returns using the variance risk premium (VRP) that is both statistically and economically significant. This methodology is motivated by the `beta representation,' which implies that the market risk premium is...

We explore differences in the levels of dispersed ownership that lead to a second returns-based free float hedging factor, which augments the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in explaining the cross-section of stock returns. Using a comprehensive sample of stocks from Japan and the...

In this paper we propose a framework for predicting market returns and volatility using changes in the country's political risk. We identify the appropriate lag to calculate changes over, and show how the changes should be included in mean and volatility equations. The appropriate level of...

This paper undertakes a comparison between five multifactor variants of the capital asset pricing model, where this is augmented by size, book to market value, momentum, liquidity and a new investor protection metric based on the product of institutional quality in a country and the proportion...