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We examine the pricing of volatility risk in the cross-section of equity Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) stock returns over the 1996 – 2010 period. We consider both aggregate (systematic) volatility and firm-specific (idiosyncratic) volatility. In contrast to the negative and significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092294
In this study, we analyze the effects of sovereign credit rating reviews on national stock market performances in GIIPS and BRIC countries during the European Sovereign Debt Crisis of 2009-2013. Through an event study, we test the Null Hypothesis that cumulative abnormal returns on national...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060066
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518800
We study a consumption-based asset pricing model with incomplete information and a- stable shocks. Incomplete information leads to a non-Gaussian filtering problem. Bayesian updating generates fluctuating confidence in the agents' estimate of the persistent component of the dividends' growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890005
these events. Using theory and simulations we study the implications of the imminent threat of climate change on different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962146
This paper examines continuous-time models for the S&P 100 index and its constituents. We find that the jump process of the typical stock looks significantly different than that of the index. Most importantly, the average size of a jumps in the returns of the typical stock is positive, while it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013465942
This paper calibrates a class of jump-diffusion long-run risks (LRR) models to quantify how well they can jointly explain the equity risk premium and the variance risk premium in the U.S. financial markets, and whether they can generate realistic dynamics of riskneutral and realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009734341
Empirical measures of world consumption growth risk have failed to rationalize the cross-section of country equity returns. We propose a new factor, termed "the global consumption factor", to explain the patterns in risk premiums on international equity markets. We identify this factor as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362976
This paper investigates how the investors responses to the evolution of uncertainty affect equilibrium asset returns. I develop a discrete-time real endowment economy where the aggregate economic uncertainty, as detected by a time-change for the endowment process, alters the perceived utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131562