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Existing methods of partitioning the market index into bull and bear regimes do not identify market corrections or bear market rallies. In contrast, our probabilistic model of the return distribution allows for rich and heterogeneous intra-regime dynamics. We focus on the characteristics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089748
Existing methods of partitioning the market index into bull and bear regimes do not identify market corrections or bear market rallies. In contrast, our probabilistic model of the return distribution allows for rich and heterogeneous intra-regime dynamics. We focus on the characteristics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014176894
volatility. The research also examines the impact of powerful foreign capital markets on the Greek Stock Exchange market, the … seasonality returns (Day-of-the-Week effect) and the volatility structure. Design/methodology/approach - The analysis of data is …-GARCH model demonstrate that the debt crisis and, therefore, its consequences increase the FTSE / ASE 20 index volatility and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011433994
substantial volatility. Among them, macro-control policies and transaction cost adjustments are a double-edged sword, which should …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649287
. According to the results, bear periods have higher volatility persistency than bull periods. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010470512
In this study, the performance of the Multifractal Model of Asset Returns (MMAR) was examined for stock index returns of four emerging markets. The MMAR, which takes into account stylized facts of financial time series, such as long memory, fat tails and trading time, was developed as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474619
In this paper we discuss univariate and multivariate statistical properties of volatility with the aim of understanding … stock's volatilities and the volatility clustering. Volatility clustering is related to the memory property of the … volatility time-series and therefore to its predictability. Our results show that there exists a relationship between the level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099664
aggregate U.S. stock market on: 1) the volatility predictions of asymmetric time series models, 2) implied volatility, and 3 …) realized volatility. Both asymmetric time series models and implied volatility predict an increase in volatility following … large negative surprise returns and ex post realized volatility normally rises as predicted. However, while asymmetric time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159746
Modeling and forecasting volatility of capital markets has been important area of inquiry and research in financial … economics with the recognition of time-varying volatility, volatility clusturing, and asymmetric response of volatility to … investment in Nepalese stock market, it is important to understand the pattern of stock market volatility. In the paper, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940660
in order to investigate the volatility in either of the index. The results of GARCH (1, 1) suggest that the impact of the … previous day volatility in both the spot and future index has impact on the current day volatility. The future market price … volatility has more prominent role to explain the spot market prices as compared to that of the explanatory power of the future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055921