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realized volatility. The jump component has very different time series properties than the continuous component, and accounting … for this allows improved forecasting of future realized volatility. We investigate the potential forecasting role of … implied volatility backed out from option prices in the presence of these new separate realized volatility components. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003795292
We develop a discrete-time affine stochastic volatility model with time-varying conditional skewness (SVS). Importantly …, we disentangle the dynamics of conditional volatility and conditional skewness in a coherent way. Our approach allows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009309462
This paper presents an empirical investigation of scaling and multifractal properties of US Dollar–Deutschemark (USD–DEM) returns. The data set is ten years of 5-min returns. The cumulative return distributions of positive and negative tails at different time intervals are linear in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975255
We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
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financial market that features volatility uncertainty. To have a mathematical consistent framework we use the notion of G … this more complex situation and consider stock price dynamics which exclude arbitrage opportunities. Due to volatility … claims and deduce explicit results in a Markovian setting. -- Pricing of contingent claims ; incomplete markets ; volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008746123
Based on criteria of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model … is constructed, the volatility process being driven by fractional noise. Price return statistics and asymptotic behavior … obtained. -- Fractional noise ; induced volatility ; statistics of returns ; option pricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003698550
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009548356