Showing 1 - 10 of 16,825
We analyze how investor expectations about economic growth and stock returns changed during the February-March 2020 stock market crash induced by the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as during the subsequent partial stock market recovery. We surveyed retail investors who are clients of Vanguard at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012224226
For most of the past decades, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region has experienced rapid expansion, driven largely by increasing energy revenues, and growth-focused government policies. As the region's population increases in size, and becomes wealthier and more urbanized, significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102716
future house prices which, in turn, led to a collapse in lending standards. A common feature of all bubbles which complicates … economic fallout from the recent financial crisis, central bank views on the use of monetary policy to lean against bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007703
". We observe both stable markets and large bubbles for both small and large markets. The data analysis shows no differences … successfully drives prices back towards the fundamental, but we observe very large bubbles in which the news apparently has no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018699
This study aims to achieve a two-fold research objective: first, to econometrically investigate hypothesized linkages between real estate and stock markets by fitting different classes of time-varying volatility model; second, to perform VaR-type stress testing by using the fitted asset price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008735767
This paper analyzes the boom–bust cycle driven by rational bubbles in an overlapping generations economy that is … rate. Bubbles are more likely to crowd investment in, the stronger is the intertemporal substitution in consumption, and … of dynamic efficiency and the occurrence of bubbles. We characterize the global dynamics of a stochastically bubbly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079238
This paper develops and estimates a model to explain the behaviour of house prices in the United States. The main finding is that over 70% of the increase in house prices relative to trend during the increase of house prices in the United States from 1995 to 2006 can be explained by a pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487808
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011944985
The booms and busts in U.S. stock prices over the post-war period can to a large extent be explained by fluctuations in investors' subjective capital gains expectations. Survey measures of these expectations display excessive optimism at market peaks and excessive pessimism at market throughs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490485