This paper examines the asset pricing implications of sector-specific shocks in a multi-sector economy where heterogeneous firms interact in the markets for material inputs, investment goods, and final goods. The model is solved using a third-order perturbation and is estimated by the simulated...

The predictive power of the dividend-price ratio has been the subject of intense scrutiny. Most studies on return predictability assume that predictor variables follow stationary processes with constant long-run means. Following recent evidence of the role of structural breaks in the...

This paper examines the asset pricing implications of sector-specific shocks in a multi-sector economy where heterogeneous firms interact in the markets for material inputs, investment goods, and final goods. The model is solved using a third-order perturbation and is estimated by the simulated...

Macroeconomic models that are based on either the rational expectations hypothesis (REH) or behavioral considerations share a core premise: All future market outcomes can be characterized ex ante with a single overarching probability distribution. This paper assesses the empirical relevance of...

Macroeconomic models that are based on either the rational expectations hypothesis (REH) or behavioral considerations share a core premise: all future market outcomes can be characterized ex ante with a single overarching probability distribution. This paper assesses the empirical relevance of...