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The impact that oil market shocks have on stock markets of oil-related economies has several implications for both domestic and foreign investors. Thus, we investigate the role of the oil market in deriving the dynamic linkage between stock markets of oil-exporting and oil-importing countries....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029324
characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. Also revealed as a stylized fact is Long memory or long range dependence in … market volatility, with significant impact on pricing and forecasting of market volatility. The implication is that models … that accomodate long memory hold the promise of improved long-run volatility forecast as well as accurate pricing of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636008
We propose a copula-based periodic mixed frequency GAS framework in order to model and forecast the intraday Exposure Conditional Value at Risk (ECoVaR) for an intraday asset return and the corresponding market return. In particular we analyze GAS models which account for long-memory-type of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352170
We propose a methodology to include night volatility estimates in the day volatility modeling problem with high … the natural relationship between the realized measure and the conditional variance. This improves volatility modeling by … leverage effect and maintains a mathematical structure that facilitates volatility estimation. A class of bivariate models that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160811
volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749656
We observe that daily highs and lows of stock prices do not diverge over time and, hence, adopt the cointegration concept and the related vector error correction model (VECM) to model the daily high, the daily low, and the associated daily range data. The in-sample results attest the importance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707381
frequency volatilities and correlations ; Dynamic conditional correlation ; Spline-GARCH ; Idiosyncratic volatility ; Long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821063
theory assumes that return shocks can be caused by changes in conditional volatility through a time-varying risk premium. On … leverage effect and the volatility feedback effect. We stress the importance of distinguishing between realized volatility and … implied volatility, and find that implied volatilities are essential for assessing the volatility feedback effect. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128856
In this paper, an attempt has been made to model the volatility of NIFTY index of National Stock Exchange (NSE) and … comprises 3736 data points for the analysis by using Box-Jenkins or ARIMA model. The volatility in the Indian stock market … suggested by Hannan-Rissanen. As per the analysis, ARIMA (1,0,1) model was found to be the best fit to forecast the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001574
Several novel large volatility matrix estimation methods have been developed based on the high-frequency financial data …. They often employ the approximate factor model that leads to a low-rank plus sparse structure for the integrated volatility … matrix and facilitates estimation of large volatility matrices. However, for predicting future volatility matrices, these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941598