Showing 1 - 10 of 12,355
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908769
distinguishes the curvature and elevation of probability weighting. With this function, we prove the CAPM and Security Market Line … Theorem (SMLT) under probability weighting by assuming risk aversion and loss aversion, respectively. Moreover, we find the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355285
I develop a stochastic growth model with production where there is a hidden state governing productivity growth regimes, and the hidden state evolves according to a Markov chain. Economic agents learn about the hidden state and display ambiguity aversion in the spirit of Klibanoff et al. (2005)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009411461
The concept of model uncertainty is one of increasing importance in the field of Mathematical Finance. The main goal of … this work is to explore model uncertainty in the specific area of algorithmic and high frequency trading. From a … behavioural perspective, model uncertainty naturally leads to the notion of ambiguity aversion - a person's tendency to avoid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043893
I generalize the long-run risks (LRR) model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) by incorporating recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences from Klibanoff et al. (2005, 2009) and time-varying ambiguity. Relative to the Bansal-Yaron model, the generalized LRR model is as tractable but more flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617667
If agents are ambiguity-averse and can invest in productive assets, asset prices can robustly exhibit indeterminacy in the markets that open after the productive investment has been launched. For indeterminacy to occur, the aggregate supply of goods must appear in precise configurations but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011685225
We use the Bayesian method introduced by Gallant and McCulloch (2009) to estimate consumption-based asset pricing models featuring smooth ambiguity preferences. We rely on semi-nonparametric estimation of a flexible auxiliary model in our structural estimation. Based on the market and aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780610
The effects of sentiment should be strongest during times of heightened valuation uncertainty. As such, we document a … significant amplifying role for market uncertainty in the relation between sentiment and aggregate investment. A one …-standard-deviation increase in uncertainty more than doubles the effect of sentiment on investment. Moreover, allowing uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350126
This study investigates the impact of uncertainty on the mean-variance relationship. We find that the stock market …’s expected excess return is positively related to the market’s conditional variances and implied variance during low uncertainty … periods but unrelated or negatively related to conditional variances and implied variance during high uncertainty periods. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887264
This study investigates the short- and long-term effects of various sources of uncertainty on the share prices of key … other relevant approaches to time series. Economic policy, climate policy, pandemics, and Twitter-based uncertainty may … China, geopolitical, climatic, and pandemic uncertainty are short-term sources of uncertainty, and in India, economic policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330079