demonstrate that geopolitical risk plays an important role in determining both oil price volatility and (to a lesser extent) stock … market volatility. An increase in geopolitical risk is associated with positive (negative) oil (stock) returns and is … correlation. This model shows short- and long-term volatility persistence for oil and stock prices, together with spillover …

This study attempts to examine the price discovery process and volatility spillovers in Gold futures and spot markets …

The option implied volatility spread and skew predict stock returns. These variables also reflect the expected cost of … stock returns; however, the volatility spread and skew do not once this implied fee is considered. Results are similar for a … yet in stock prices. These findings indicate that the volatility spread and skew predict returns because they proxy for …

We investigate the informational content of credit default swap (CDS) spreads for future volatility of (firm) assets … and equity. In the cross-section, CDS spreads are significantly more informative about future asset than equity volatility … fundamental difference in the cross-sectional predictability of asset and equity volatility. This difference lies in the leverage …

Equity option markets exhibit intense trading activity. We use the variability of option implied volatility spread as a …. Over the 2006 – 2016 period, we find that the predictive power of option implied volatility spread for future stock returns … is significantly greater when implied volatility spread has been more variable in the past. Our results are statistically …

Aggregate implied volatility spread (IVS), defined as the cross-sectional average difference in the implied …

We provide evidence that an option implied volatility-based measure predicts future absolute excess returns of the … return volatility shortly before these information events, and the volatility of excess stock returns around these two events …, and also trade on the expected volatility. In addition, we show that net straddle returns (after transaction costs) around …

This study examines the relation between aggregate volatility risk and the cross-section of stock returns in Australia …. We use a stock's sensitivity to innovations in the ASX200 implied volatility (VIX) as a proxy for aggregate volatility … risk. Consistent with theoretical predictions, aggregate volatility risk is negatively related to the cross-section of …

Prior research documents that volatility spreads predict stock returns. If the trading activity of informed investors … is an important driver of volatility spreads, then the predictability of stock returns should be more pronounced during … major information events. This paper investigates whether the predictability of equity returns by volatility spreads is …