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Several papers decompose stock returns into cash flow and discount rate news to study equity market fluctuations. This paper develops and explores an alternative decomposition for stock returns based on the idea that equity volatility must come from variation in the present value of short- and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848221
This paper examines long-term price overreactions in various financial markets (commodities, US stock market and FOREX). First, t-tests are carried out for overreactions as a statistical phenomenon. Second, a trading robot approach is applied to test the profitability of two alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010467097
This paper examines short-term price reactions after one-day abnormal price changes and whether they create exploitable profit opportunities in various financial markets. A t-test confirms the presence of overreactions and also suggests that there is an "inertia anomaly", i.e. after an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010438074
We develop an Artificial Stock Market - an agent-based simulation model of the stock market with many risky assets. The ASM has three layers of heterogeneous and interacting agents, and generates prices for 150 stocks. We present the current state of the model and demonstrate its ability to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254923
This paper examines long-term price overreactions in various financial markets (commodities, US stock market and FOREX). First, t-tests are carried out for overreactions as a statistical phenomenon. Second, a trading robot approach is applied to test the profitability of two alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029864
We propose a new approach to model high and low frequency components of equity correlations. Our framework combines a factor asset pricing structure with other specifications capturing dynamic properties of volatilities and covariances between a single common factor and idiosyncratic returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821063
theory assumes that return shocks can be caused by changes in conditional volatility through a time-varying risk premium. On …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128856
GARCH type models, with one disturbance to the return of a financial asset, have not been considered as a framework for measuring the contemporaneous correlation between the return shock and the volatility shock. We show that the contemporaneous correlation can be quantified within an EGARCH...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133961
This study presents and empirically tests a simple framework that examines the effects of market liquidity (the ease with which stocks are traded) and funding liquidity (the ease with which market participants can obtain funding) on stock market bubbles. Three key findings emerge from this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063524
We develop tests for deciding whether a large cross‐section of asset prices obey an exact factor structure at the times of factor jumps. Such jump dependence is implied by standard linear factor models. Our inference is based on a panel of asset returns with asymptotically increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012042424