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credit risk-premium to model spikes in CDS rates during stressed market conditions. We develop the statistical evidence for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948392
issuers, we provide evidence to support a statistically significant negative downgrade risk premium in excess returns …, suggesting that stocks at higher risk of failure tend to deliver lower returns. The performance of the model remains robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012242861
a decrease in bank equity risk. We show theoretically, that keeping less capital in excess of the minimum capital … requirement can outweigh the risk-reducing effect on equity of increased total capitalization. Empirically, we find that excess … capitalization is a significant determinant of equity risk, and can explain why bank equity risk has not become lower after the Great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257891
We propose a method to extract individual firms' risk-neutral return distributions by combining options and credit …. Jointly, options and CDS span the intermediate part of the distribution, which is driven by moderate-sized jump risk. We study … the returns on a trading strategy that buys (sells) stocks exposed to positive (negative) moderate-sized jump risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779565
This paper examines insider trading around first-time debt covenant violation disclosures in SEC filings, and is interesting from a research and regulatory standpoint for three reasons – delay and infrequency of a first-time disclosure, lack of attention to covenant disclosures by regulators,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115646
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asset prices reflect both covariance risk and misperceptions of firmsapos prospects, and in which arbitrageurs trade against … mispricing. In equilibrium, expected returns are linearly related to both risk and mispricing measures (e.g., fundamental …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918741