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Job search decisions of unemployed workers are forward-looking and respond to expected returns from the search process. When expected returns (or discount rates) are high, the discounted benefits from the search process are low. Thus unemployed workers search less intensively for jobs. We build...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235643
This paper uses structural vector autoregressive models (SVARs) to show that the response of US stock prices to fiscal shocks changed in 1980. Over the period 1955-1979, an expansionary spending or revenue shock was associated with higher stock prices. After 1980, the response of stock prices to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220869
A tractable model with infinitely lived agents is constructed for the examination of bubbles and unemployment. It is … demonstrated that the presence of bubbles stimulates capital accumulation and reduces unemployment. The presence of bubbles also … changes the effects of government policies that target unemployment and welfare conditions in the labor market. The main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012254416
This paper uses a battery of calibrated and estimated structural models to determine the causal drivers of the negative correlation between output and aggregate uncertainty. We find the transmission of uncertainty shocks to output is weak, while aggregate uncertainty endogenously responds to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219154
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001711495
a link between stock volatility and real economic activity, such as unemployment rates, it can be misleading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126204
a link between stock volatility and real economic activity, such as unemployment rates, it can be misleading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461682
a link between stock volatility and real economic activity, such as unemployment rates, it can be misleading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126911
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010245601
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010461871