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We study the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks on the long-run stock market variances and correlations, primarily for the US and the UK. We find that US EPU shocks affect both US and UK stock market long-run variances and correlation, but UK EPU shocks only affect its own...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855094
This paper examines the effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks on stock-bond correlations for the US market. We devise a general framework which distinguishes a positive shock from a negative one and nests either as its special case. The results show that innovations in the policy...
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We compared forecasts of stock market volatility based on real-time and revised macroeconomic data. To this end, we … used a statistical, a utility-based, and an options-based criterion to evaluate volatility forecasts. Our main result is … that the statistical and economic value of volatility forecasts based on real-time data is comparable to the value of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003315444
This paper examines whether macroeconomic instability can influence stock market volatility in a sample of 5 emerging … discordant from one country to another, but when a dynamic panel GMM is estimated, exchange rate volatility is found to be the …
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