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This paper studies the effect of new fund flows on investment behavior and the resulting equilibrium price of risk. The Small Fund Industry model shows equilibria with overinvestment in unprofitable and underinvestment in profitable investment opportunities. The Large Fund Industry model derives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389297
We link a seemingly biased trading behavior to equilibrium asset prices. U.S. equity mutual fund managers tend to sell both their big winners and big losers. This selling pressure pushes down current prices and leads to higher future returns; aggregating across funds, we nd that securities for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856415
Stocks with high sentiment betas are more sensitive to investor sentiment, with more subjective valuations. We contend that sentiment beta also captures the duration of mispricing. Accordingly, stocks with high (low) sentiment betas provide opportunities for momentum (contrarian) traders. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121460
The active share of mutual funds drops significantly when investor sentiment is high, indicating that fund managers reduce their active stock selection and stay closer to their benchmarks during such periods. Our evidence is consistent with fund managers being sentiment-prone—challenging the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404707
To many people, the terror of falling share prices is often significant, often more so than the pleasure of gains. Accordingly, investors often want to minimize downside volatility as a part of their portfolio planning. Investors already have several tools to measure downside volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009746020
We show that mutual fund ratings generate correlated demand that creates systematic price fluctuations. Mutual fund investors chase fund performance via Morningstar ratings. Until June 2002, funds pursuing the same investment style had highly correlated ratings. Therefore, rating-chasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388379
We explore whether style investing by mutual fund investors contributes to return comovement of stocks in the same style, classified by market capitalization and book-to-market ratio. We find that a stock's comovement with other stocks in its style is significantly greater when this stock is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940653
Using a novel database, we show that the stock-price impact of analyst trade ideas is at least as large as the impact of stock recommendation, target price, and earnings forecast changes, and that investors following trade ideas can earn significant abnormal returns. Trade ideas triggered by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120228
The existence of a premium to momentum portfolios, formed by buying recent winners and selling recent losers is widely accepted, although the source of the returns remains controversial. It remains a focus of behavioural finance. We focus on one set of explanations, based on prospect theory,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927420
In this paper we argue that momentum profits are driven by both past performance and the relative proximity to an available reference point, the 52-week high. We construct momentum-style portfolios that are driven strictly by past returns which we call ‘run' based measures, and compare these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984906