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It has been established in the literature that volatility of stock returns exhibits complex properties of not only … volatility clustering, but also long memory, regime change, and substantial outliers during turbulent and calm periods. Hence …, this paper seeks to analyze volatility spillover, co-movements, independence and contagion in the Chinese, Japanese …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348418
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account impacts from oil price return and oil price volatility on forecast changes. The panel smooth transition regression …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010438928
This paper examines if overreaction of oil price forecasters is affected by uncertainty. Furthermore, it takes into account joint effects of uncertainty and oil price returns on forecast changes. The panel smooth transition regression model from Gonz alez et al. (2005) is applied with univariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010480543
This paper proposes Spillover Persistence as a measure for financial fragility. The volatility paradox predicts that … fragility builds up when volatility is low, which challenges existing measures. Spillover Persistence tackles this challenge by … exploring a novel dimension of systemic risk: loss dynamics. I document that Spillover Persistence declines when fragility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499703
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results show that by considering time-varying return and volatility spillovers when calculating the risk-minimising portfolio … framework is a bivariate volatility model, where volatility spillovers of either positive or negative sign are allowed for. Our … countries. Regarding the volatility spillovers, such spillovers from bond returns to those of stocks are stronger than the other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663407
In the past decade, the popularity of realized measures and various linear models for volatility forecasting has … the ongoing debate with a comprehensive evaluation of multiple-step-ahead volatility forecasts of energy markets using … commonly used to forecast realized volatility, this paper also contributes to the literature by coupling realized measures with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033742
group of nonconventional economies like the GCC countries, where risk-sharing based financial system is prominent and … foreign investment, risk-free interest, derivatives, etc. are not as widespread as in Western economies. Design … risk-sharing based financial system does not necessarily protect the stock market from US uncertainty shock. However, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894253
volatility. The empirical analysis is mainly conducted using a novel approach based on combining the Diebold and Yilmaz (2014 … January 2004 to May 2022, the empirical results show that the effect of EPU on the volatility of UAE stock markets is time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255189