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Estimation and forecasting of large realized covariance matrices and portfolio choice
Callot, Laurent; Kock, Anders B.; Medeiros, Marcelo C. - 2014
In this paper we consider modeling and forecasting of large realized covariance matrices by penalized vector … theoretical performance guarantees on the forecast capability of our procedure. To be precise, we show that we can forecast future … margin at the longer forecast horizons. Finally, we investigate the economic value of our forecasts in a portfolio selection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433899
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Modeling and forecasting closing prices of some coal mining companies in Indonesia by using the VAR(3)-BEKK GARCH (1,1) model
Wamiliana; Russel, Edwin; Alam, Iskandar Ali; Widiarti; … - In: International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy : IJEEP 14 (2024) 1, pp. 579-591
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494811
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The role of asset prices in forecasting inflation and output in South Africa
Gupta, Rangan; Hartley, Faaiqa - In: Journal of emerging market finance 12 (2013) 3, pp. 239-291
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360591
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Stock return predictability : the role of inflation and threshold dynamics
McMillan, David G. - In: International review of applied economics 31 (2017) 3, pp. 357-375
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011762050
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Linear predictability vs. bull and bear market models in strategic asset allocation decisions : evidence from UK data
Guidolin, Massimo; Hyde, Stuart - 2012
Most papers in the portfolio choice literature have examined linear predictability frameworks based on the idea that simple but flexible Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models can be expanded to produce portfolio allocations that hedge against the bull and bear dynamics typical of financial markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658243
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Four centuries of return predictability
Golez, Benjamin; Koudijs, Peter - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010481196
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Published stock recommendations as investor sentiment in the near-term stock market
Singer, Nico; Laser, Saskia; Dreher, Frank - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 45 (2013) 3, pp. 1233-1249
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222475
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Four Centuries of Return Predictability
Golez, Benjamin - 2014
/U.K. (1629-1812), U.K. (1813-1870) and U.S. (1871-2015). We show that dividend yields are stationary and consistently forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457852
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Four Centuries of Return Predictability
Golez, Benjamin - 2015
/U.K. (1629-1812), U.K. (1813-1870) and U.S. (1871-2015). We show that dividend yields are stationary and consistently forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031015
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Forecasting stock volatility using time-distance weighting fundamental’s shocks
Mei, Xueting; Wang, Xinyu - In: Finance research letters 65 (2024), pp. 1-10
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014564298