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Intraday and high frequency time series are mostly defined by a non-continuous prices process. This paper introduces an integer based ARMA model found to be a better predictor for absolute intraday price changes than continuous time estimators (such as GARCH or multiplicative error models)....
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"Leverage Effect" in the returns of BIST-100 index. Therefore, one can say that political uncertainty is still a problem for the …
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market set -up that accounts for fundamental uncertainty. Nonetheless, the market is designed so that its total value is …
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We investigate the uncertainty dynamics surrounding extreme weather events through the lens of option and stock markets … by identifying market responses to the uncertainty regarding both potential hurricane landfall and subsequent economic … 5-10 percent, reflecting impact uncertainty. Using hurricane forecasts, we show that landfall uncertainty and potential …
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