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This paper examines macroeconomic effects and transmission mechanisms of COVID19 in Mongolia, a developing and commodity-exporting economy, by estimating a Bayesian structural vector autoregression on quarterly data. We find strong cross-border spillover effects of COVID-19. Our estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013350796
work from home ("home-shorability''), in conjunction with publicly available data on employment and GDP for Canada, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014094992
This paper proposes a new measure of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) for Korea by fine-tuning the keywords and exploiting information drawn from a wide variety of local newspapers. The uniqueness of our new EPU index lies mainly in the fact that it uses a set of keywords that correspond much...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294884
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the variation in the GDP in Canada. My findings suggest that TFP news shock is the key driver of GDP in the medium run and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437729
The primary objective of this paper is to revisit DSGE models with a view to bringing out their key weaknesses, including statistical misspecification, non-identification of deep parameters, substantive inadequacy, weak forecasting performance, and potentially misleading policy analysis. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013355187
business cycle. Second, a shock that moves the land price is capable of generating large volatility in unemployment. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010126854
In this paper, I estimate a series of long run reallocative shocks to sectoral employment using a stochastic volatility … ; stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009232259