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This paper examines empirically the nonlinear business cycle dynamics due to the presence of financial frictions. Using a threshold vector auto regression, the authors estimate the behavior of interest rate shocks in which a regime change occurs if the two respective threshold variables namely...
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This paper investigates the impact of environmental factors that indicate climate change on household decisions to migrate abroad in the case of Tajikistan, an environmentally vulnerable and a labor-migrant source country in Central Asia. Both long-term climate variation (measured by weather...
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originating in credit markets and uncertainty shocks. In the extended set-up financial shocks are even more important and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010387279
This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786017
emerging economies. This paper argues that uncertainty about future monetary policy is a separate transmission channel. We … focus on the taper tantrum episode in 2013, a period with an elevated uncertainty about monetary policy, and use a data set … index about monetary policy uncertainty using a list of uncertainty keywords. An advantage of this index is that it reflects …
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