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Global risk-off shocks can be highly destabilizing for financial markets and, absent an adequate policy response, may trigger severe recessions. Policy responses were more complex for developed economies with very low interest rates after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). We document, however,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890990
Global risk-off shocks can be highly destabilising for financial markets and, absent an adequate policy response, may trigger severe recessions. In Caballero and Kamber (2019), we document that the unconventional policies adopted by the main central banks were effective in containing asset price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870096
We examine the role of democracy shocks in the cross-country economic growth processes over a period of five decades since 1960. The recent uprisings that arose independently and spread across the Arab world form the main context of our investigation. We study if (i) a shock to democracy in one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012020510
In this paper, we investigate the macroeconomic response to exogenous shocks, namely natural disasters and stochastic productivity shocks. To do so, we make use of an endogenous business cycle model in which cyclical behavior arises from the investment-profit instability; the amplitude of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014052384
This paper examines the role of a policymaker in macroeconomic outcomes. To determine the possible trade-offs posed by various policy targets, we link a well-known aggregate supply function with a policy rule. In our model we determine the conditions and explore the possibility under which a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014102995
We show that taking into account the optimal response of agents subject to financial frictions reproduces two empirical facts on the response to interest rate shocks: the decrease in the stock of money on impact and the gradual decrease in the real stock of money. Financial frictions are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946400
In this paper we analyze the implications of a persistent liquidity trap in a monetary model with asset scarcity. We show that a liquidity trap may lead to an increase in real cash holdings and be associated with a decline in output in the medium term. This medium-term impact is a supply-side...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906430
This paper constructs a new measure of monetary policy shocks that is orthogonal to fundamentals by combining the high-frequency approach of Gurkaynak et al. (2005) and Romer and Romer (2004)'s narrative approach. The empirical features of the new measure are: (i) contractionary monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907026
Global monetary conditions have often been cited as a driving factor of commodity prices. This paper investigates the empirical relationship between US monetary policy and commodity prices by means of a standard VAR system, commonly used in analysing the effects of monetary policy shocks. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139795
It has become common practice to estimate the response of asset prices to monetary policy actions using market-based measures such as the unexpected change in the federal funds futures rate as proxies for monetary policy shocks. I show that because interest rates and market-based measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116855