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persistent effect on GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160261
This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on SVAR model embedding transitory and permanent shocks on oil demand and supply as well as speculative disturbances. We find evidence of significant differences in the propagation mechanisms of transitory versus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836533
increase in fossil fuel price would lead to a sharp growth in price inflation and a severe contraction in real GDP, followed by … GDP losses at relatively low public costs, especially if coupled with an extra-profit tax on energy firms. Energy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013383241
We develop a model that investigates the relation between insurance premiums and macroeconomic variables, including oil price, interest rate, aggregate supply, and aggregate demand. We then use a multivariate structural vector error correction model to distinguish the effects arising from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159212
When quantifying the importance of supply and demand for oil price fluctuations, a wide range of estimates have been reported. Models identified via a sharp upper bound on the short-run price elasticity of supply find supply shocks to be minor drivers. In turn, when replacing the upper bound...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496492
HYPOTHESIS TESTS -- CHAPTER 5: HYPOTHESIS TESTING WITH REAL GDP: SOMEWHAT MIXED RESULTS -- CHAPTER 6: DERIVED DEMAND FOR LABOR … impact a nation’s ability to recover from negative aggregate demand shocks. Spanning total real GDP, per capita real GDP, and … demand on real GDP and employment levels in the long run. Hartman studies modern macroeconomic theories related to economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544841
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013411362
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012152384
This paper examines the effects of monetary policy shocks on UK regional economic growth and dispersion in a novel Constrained Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive framework. Compared to a standard MFVAR, the model partially accounts for missing quarterly observations for regional growth by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372798
We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to GDP growth in the US based on a Bayesian … to GDP growth fluctuates from about 20 percent in normal times to 50 percent during the global financial crisis. (ii) The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988788