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How important are spillovers from major emerging markets?
Huidrom, Raju; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2017
. Given their size and integration, growth in EM7 could have significant cross-border spillovers. We provide empirical … estimates of these spillovers using a Bayesian vector auto regression model. We report three main results. First, spillovers …. Second, sizeable as they are, spillovers from EM7 are still smaller than those from G7 countries (Group of Seven of advanced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011696360
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Periodic business and exchange rate cycles : evidence from 7 emerging markets
Köhler, Karsten; Stockhammer, Engelbert - 2020
The paper investigates exchange rate cycles and their relationship to the business cycle in 7 major emerging market economies. We document the presence of periodic cycles in nominal US-dollar exchange rates and show that these are closely aligned with cycle frequencies in real output. Joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660709
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The global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks
Beutel, Johannes; Emter, Lorenz; Metiu, Norbert; … - 2022
We study the link between the global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks using quantile vector autoregressions. Contractionary shocks to financial conditions and monetary policy in the United States cause elevated downside risks to growth around the world. By tightening financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459721
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International propagation of financial shocks in a search and matching environment
Isoré, Marlène - 2011 - First draft: April 30, 2010, This version: April 13, 2011
This paper develops a two-country multi-frictional model where the freeze on liquidity access to commercial banks in one country raises unemployment rates via credit rationing in both countries. The expenditure-switching channel, whereby asymmetric monetary shocks traditionally lead to negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346436
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International Propagation of Financial Shocks in a Search and Matching Environment
Isoré, Marlène - 2017
This paper develops a two-country model in which transmission of financial shocks arises despite a flexible exchange rate regime and substitutable financial assets, contrary to the open-economy literature results under these two conditions. The search and matching approach first accounts for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967228
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International propagation of financial shocks in a search and matching environment
Isoré, Marlène - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009229455
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Shocks to bank lending, risk-taking, securitization, and their role for US business cycle fluctuations
Peersman, Gert; Wagner, Wolf - 2014
Shocks to bank lending, risk-taking and securitization activities that are orthogonal to real economy and monetary policy innovations account for more than 30 percent of U.S. output variation. The dynamic effects, however, depend on the type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257361
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Shocks to Bank Lending, Risk-Taking, Securitization, and Their Role for U.S. Business Cycle Fluctuations
Peersman, Gert - 2014
Shocks to bank lending, risk-taking and securitization activities that are orthogonal to real economy and monetary policy innovations account for more than 30 percent of U.S. output variation. The dynamic effects, however, depend on the type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055428
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Shocks to Bank Lending, Risk-Taking, Securitization, and Their Role for U.S. Business Cycle Fluctuations
Peersman, Gert - 2014
Shocks to bank lending, risk-taking and securitization activities that are orthogonal to real economy and monetary policy innovations account for more than 30 percent of U.S. output variation. The dynamic effects, however, depend on the type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058143
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Shocks to Bank Lending, Risk-Taking, Securitization, and Their Role for U.S. Business Cycle Fluctuations
Peersman, Gert - 2014
Shocks to bank lending, risk-taking and securitization activities that are orthogonal to real economy and monetary policy innovations account for more than 30 percent of U.S. output variation. The dynamic effects, however, depend on the type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058207