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This paper estimates and analyzes multipliers for tax revenue and public spending for Colombia using structural autoregressive vectors and local projections models. Quarterly series of the central national government between 2000Q1 and 2018Q4 are used. The results show fiscal multipliers that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013393435
We propose and apply a new approach for analyzing the effects of fiscal policy using vector autoregressions. Unlike most of the previous literature this approach does not require that the contemporaneous reaction of some variables to fiscal policy shocks be set to zero or need additional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003147823
We study how macroeconomic shocks affect U.S. public debt dynamics using a VAR with debt feedback. Following a fiscal … austerity shock, the debt ratio initially declines and then returns to its pre-shock path. Yet, the effect is not statistically … times. An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quarters. A positive growth shock unambiguously …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098577
We investigate the effects of fiscal policy surprises for US data, using vector autoregressions. We overcome the difficulties that changes in fiscal policy may manifest themselves in variables other than fiscal variables first and that fiscal variables may respond "automatically" to business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014118576
response the debt is more important in the effect of monetary policy, for prices, the "Ricardian" nature of fiscal policy … appears to be far more crucial. However, regarding inflation targeting, monetary policy is most effective in the low debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014336399
. The paper investigates the influence of Swiss cantonal debt brakes on municipal finances during the years 1980 - 2011 by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424734
the effects of fiscal shocks, keeping track of the debt dynamics that arise following a fiscal shock and allowing for the … possibility that taxes, spending, and interest rates might respond to the level of the debt as it evolves over time. We show that … the absence of a debt feedback effect can result in incorrect estimates of the dynamic effects of fiscal shocks. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003715720
We use a threshold VAR analysis to study whether the effects of fiscal policy on economic activity differ depending on financial market conditions. In particular, we investigate the possibility of a non-linear propagation of fiscal developments according to different financial market stress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009152600
We use a threshold VAR analysis to study whether the effects of fiscal policy on economic activity differ depending on financial market conditions. In particular, we investigate the possibility of a non-linear propagation of fiscal developments according to different financial market stress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935826
We estimate spillover effects of a fiscal shock in one member country in the euro area on outputs of the rest of the members, using a Global Vector Autoregression (GVAR) model. We compare the effects of a domestic fiscal shock with those of a similar size area-wide shock expressed as a weighted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581972