Showing 1 - 10 of 2,629
component explains much less of the variation in sectoral regional inflation rates and exhibits much less volatility than … and Sectoral Inflation ; Common Factor Models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003947456
determination of the central bank to leave unchanged its long-term inflation objective in the face of inflationary shocks. The … magnitude of private sector learning has been calibrated to match the volatility of US inflation expectations at long horizons …. Given such illustrative calibrations, we find that the costs of maintaining a given inflation volatility under weak …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158817
inflation, interest rate and stock returns. It employs the Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) approach method of Lee (1992) to analyze …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770661
The paper integrates the two-pillar Phillips curve, which explains expected inflation by the money growth trend, within … distinguished from which one derives inflation expectations from money growth trend figures whereas the other builds rational … expectations by way of learning. The inspection of output and inflation variances show that a policy of reacting to excess money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206408
inflation and persistence in output. The key features of our model are those that prevent a sharp rise in marginal costs after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014125007
inflation and the distribution of relative commodity prices. I estimate a restricted VAR that includes aggregate variables and … for each forecast horizon. The findings indicate that both shocks lead to positive correlation between inflation and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014051455
inflation and the distribution of relative commodity prices. I estimate a restricted VAR that includes aggregate variables and … for each forecast horizon. The findings indicate that both shocks lead to positive correlation between inflation and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070940
This paper examines the impact of different types of oil price shocks on the U.S. economy, using a factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) approach. The results indicate that when examining the effects of oil price shocks, it is important to account for the interaction between the oil market and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081472
We build a small open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, featuring many types of nominal and real frictions that have become standard in the literature. In recent years it has become possible to estimate such models using Bayesian methods. These exercises typically involve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003940276
This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty in a multi-sector housing model with financial frictions. We include time varying uncertainty (i.e. risk shocks) in the technology shocks that affect housing production. The analysis demonstrates that risk shocks to the housing production sector are a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657366