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The dynamic effects of ECB announcements, disentangled into pure monetary policy and central bank information shocks, on the euro (EUR) exchange rate are examined using a Bayesian Proxy Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model fed with high-frequency data. Contractionary monetary policy shocks result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180641
I show that the majority of short-term nominal exchange rate fluctuations among large economies can be explained by changes in the relative stance of their monetary policies. Adapting recently developed instrumental variable techniques for shock identification, I find that monetary policy shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015079889
This paper investigates the spillover effects of U.S. monetary policy on exchange rates of 10 advanced economies and 21 emerging markets during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). The investigation is achieved by a structural vector autoregression model, where daily data on economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833773
The dynamic effects of ECB announcements, disentangled into pure monetary policy and central bank information shocks, on the euro (EUR) exchange rate are examined using a Bayesian Proxy Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model fed with high-frequency data. Contractionary monetary policy shocks result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836329
Existing high-frequency monetary policy shocks explain surprisingly little variation in stock prices and exchange rates around FOMC announcements. Further, both of these asset classes display heightened volatility relative to non-announcement times. We use a heteroskedasticity-based procedure to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576665
This study examines the dynamics of the Russian currency against the US dollar, exploring its responses to geopolitical risk, domestic policies, and oil and gas price shocks. Based on our quantile and time-frequency analyses from January 1998 to July 2022, focused on a subsample that covers the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014495236
In this paper, we analyse nominal exchange rate and price dynamics after risk shocks with short-term interest rates constrained by the zero lower bound (ZLB). We show with a stylized theoretical model that temporary risk shocks may lead to permanent shifts of the exchange rate and the price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340556
This paper aims to analyse the dynamics of foreign exchange markets in a country facing political uncertainty that prompt capital outflow from the country. The economic environment under investigation is characterized by dual foreign exchange markets: a formal or official market for foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650924
We show that the impact of monetary policy on exchange rates has been growing significantly in recent years. Our results are established by a high-frequency event study of how key fixed income instruments - Overnight-Index Swaps (OIS) and Bonds - respond jointly with exchange rates to news about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984040
We study the optimal management of capital flows in a small open economy model with financial frictions and multiple policy instruments. The paper reports two main findings. First, both foreign exchange intervention (FXI) and macroprudential polices are tools complementary to the monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828217