This paper examines the macroeconomic effects of government spending shocks in Canada for the period of 1949 - 2012. We use the narrative record, mostly the budget speech, to identify the size, timing, and principal motivation for all planned major government spending changes. To achieve...

In this paper, we re-investigate the effects of oil price and its uncertainty on China's macroeconomic activities using a monthly generalized VAR model with stochastic volatility in mean, named interactive VAR-SV-in-mean model, which allows for interactions amongst variables' levels and...

In this paper we study the macroeconomic effects of changes in federal taxes for the Canadian economy for the time period 1961:1 - 2014:4. We employ the narrative methodology of Romer and Romer (2010) and Cloyne (2013) to identify exogenous changes in federal taxes. In particular, we study, in...