This study investigates whether fluctuations in credit supply in a macroeconomy and a relational bank's financial condition affect the capital structure adjustment of firms. Using data for Japanese listed firms from 1988 to 2014, we find that firms adjust their capital structure slower during...

The recent crisis has revealed the potentially dramatic consequences of allowing the build-up of an overstretched leverage of the financial system, and prompted proposals by bank supervisors to significantly tighten bank capital requirements as part of the new Basel 3 regulations. Although these...

The recent crisis has revealed the potentially dramatic consequences of allowing the build-up of an overstretched leverage of the financial system, and prompted proposals by bank supervisors to significantly tighten bank capital requirements as part of the new Basel 3 regulations. Although these...

We investigate how idiosyncratic lender shocks impact corporate investment. Lenders with recent default experience write stricter loan contracts, leading to a reduction in real investment for borrowing firms. The decline in investment is not attributable to loan riskiness, borrower's agency...

We develop a tractable model of strategic debt renegotiation in which businesses are sequentially interconnected through their liabilities. This financing structure, which we refer to as a "debt chain", gives rise to externalities, as a lender's willingness to provide concessions to his...

Current empirical methods to identify and assess the impact of bank shocks rely strictly on firms borrowing from multiple banks and ignore the many firms borrowing from only one bank. Yet, such single-relationship firms may be the most prone and sensitive to bank-loan supply shocks. Therefore,...

The subprime crisis was quite damaging for hedge funds. Using the local projection method (Jordà 2004, 2005, 2009), we forecast the dynamic responses of the betas of hedge fund strategies to macroeconomic and financial shocks-especially volatility and illiquidity shocks-over the subprime crisis...

Using federal funds futures data, we show the importance of surprise communication as a component of monetary policy for U.S. macro variables, both before and after 2008. While Gürkaynak et al. (2005) stress the importance of monetary policy communication for asset prices, much of the...

In this paper, we argue that the value addition from investing in short-term futures trading strategies is their reconcilability with unanticipated risk shocks. We perform empirical analysis on short-term and long-term CTA, i.e., trend-following, strategies and find that the exclusive...

This paper presents a model in which safe assets are systemic because they are the medium of exchange for risky assets. Like commodity money, these assets are costly to produce and have some intrinsic value, resulting in (a) non-neutrality and (b) overproduction. Quantitatively, the welfare...