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examine the relevance of the cost channel for inflation dynamics in G7 countries. Since firms' costs of working capital … inflation responses to monetary policy shocks, and can even lead to inverse inflation responses, when the cost channel is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009524830
Empirical estimates find that the relationship between inflation and the output gap is close to nonexistent—a so … meaningful inflation from plausible supply shocks. This is because imposing a flat Phillips curve immediately implies that the … demand increases. This has natural implications for inflation dynamics and crucial implications for the conduct of monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257098
, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
aggregate inflation and the higher-order moments of the distribution of relative price changes. Our empirical findings confirm … explanatory variable for the inflation rate. Further, the skewness measure also helps to explain shifts in the Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476471
hybrid specification that includes both lagged and future inflation and then by examining whether the estimated coefficient … on future inflation is significantly larger than the one on lagged inflation. This article presents the evidence that … is irrelevant and expected future inflation is the major determinant of inflation — arise if the hybrid specification is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097078
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013261157
by the announcement of inflation targeting in 1991 when estimating the effects of monetary policy. For instance, we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777945
This note proposes an update to Figure 1 in "Macroeconomic Shocks and their Propagation" in the Handbook of Macroeconomics of 2016 (Ramey, 2016). Figure 1 of Ramey (2016) reports Impulse-Response Functions (IRFs) of variables of interest to a shock in the Federal Funds Rate, following the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416282
Central banks in most advanced economies have reacted similarly to the increase in inflation that started in 2021. They … initially looked through the rising inflation by leaving monetary policy relatively unchanged. Then, after inflation continued … aiming to anchor drifting inflation expectations. Why might central banks want to look through supply-driven inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370504
growth by approximate 2 percentage points in 2020-2021 and inflation by 0.5 percentage points. The longer-term refinancing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622376