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Our paper presents a crude oil price model in which the price is confined in a wide moving band. A price crash occurs when the price breaches the lower boundary where a smooth-pasting condition is imposed. Using an asymmetric mean-reverting fundamental (supply/demand) shock, the solution derived...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839968
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Our paper presents a crude oil price model in which the price is confined in a wide moving band. A price crash occurs when the price breaches the lower boundary where a smooth-pasting condition is imposed. Using an asymmetric mean-reverting fundamental (supply/demand) shock, the solution derived...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830446
This paper proposes a simple bounded stochastic motion to model equity price dynamics under shocks. The stochastic process has a quasi-bounded boundary which can be breached if the probability leakage condition is met. The quasi-boundedness of the process at the boundary can thus provide an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480888
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Using interest rate derivative market prices, this paper derives the term structure of the LIBOR-overnight index swap (OIS) spread, which is considered as the funding liquidity risk premium, following the Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model. The probability density functions of the LIBOR-OIS spread...
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