This paper takes an otherwise standard real-business-cycle setup with government sector, and augments it with shocks to consumer confidence to study business cycle fluctuations. A surprise increase in consumer confidence generates higher utility, as the household values consumption more in...

Why is there a negative correlation between business cycles in Jordan and the EU15? This paper explores the hypothesis that TFP increases in Europe spill over to Jordan only if embodied in FDI, but that European TFP growth negatively affects the Jordanian economy through higher world interest...

English Abstract: Most previous studies on business cycles in emerging markets have focused on elucidating the differences between advanced and emerging countries. However, the present study investigates the differences in two groups of emerging countries, namely, those in Asia and Latin...

We document changes to the pattern of technology shocks and their propagation in post-war U.S. data. Using an agnostic identification procedure, we show that the dominant shock driving total factor productivity (TFP) is akin to a diffusion or news shock and that shock transmission has changed...