, falling fertility has caused migration rates that used to generate growth to instead result in decline. When we simulate … county populations from 1970 to the present holding fertility at its initial level, only 10 percent of counties decline …

This contribution proposes a simulation approach for the indirect estimation of age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs …) and the total fertility rate (TFR) for Germany via time series modeling of the principal components of the ASFRs. The … probability of 75%. Based on this result, it is unlikely that the fertility level will fall back to its extremely low levels of …

extensive simulation study that examines the performance of commonly used information criteria in a mixture regression context …

extensive simulation study that examines the performance of commonly used information criteria in a mixture regression context …

This paper considers the case for universal child allowances in Ghana. It follows findings from an earlier study of 14 … middle income countries that examined optimal approaches to reduce child poverty using universal categorical child allowances …. The paper describes the demographic profiles that will influence the impact of a universal child allowance: 67 per cent of …