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Evolution of Forecast Disagreement in a Bayesian Learning Model
Lahiri, Kajal - 2007
We estimate a Bayesian learning model with heterogeneity aimed at explaining expert forecast disagreement and its evolution over horizons. Disagreement is postulated to have three components due to differences in: i) the initial prior beliefs, ii) the weights attached on priors, and iii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729485
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Conclusions of cooperative and noncooperative interaction between monetary and fiscal policies in small scale open economy
Tetik, Metin; Ceylan, Reşat; Ulucan, Hakan; Bari, Bilgin - In: Dynamic optics in economics : quantitative, …, (pp. 117-149). 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888491
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Evaluation of Stackelberg leader-follower interaction between policymakers in small open economies
Tetik, Metin; Ceylan, Reşat - In: Mokslo darbai / Vilniaus Universitetas 100 (2021) 2, pp. 101-132
The problem of coordination between policymakers seems to have created fundamental problems related to economic and social costs, targeted inflation, potential growth, and a high budget deficit. To resolve these problems in this framework, it is important to see the results of the interaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887985
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Distributional comparative statics
Jensen, Martin Kaae - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011396530
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Distributional comparative statics
Jensen, Martin Kaae - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009660838
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Imitation dynamics with payoff shocks
Mertikopoulos, Panayotis; Viossat, Yannick - In: International journal of game theory : official journal … 45 (2016) 1/2, pp. 291-320
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554676
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Causal statistics of structural dependence space-based trend simulations for the coalition of rice exporters : the cases of India, Thailand, and Vietnam
Anuphak Saosaovaphak; Chukiat Chaiboonsri; Satawat Wannapan - In: International journal of computational economics and … 12 (2022) 1/2, pp. 4-28
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012939557
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A Bayesian Model of the Litigation Game
Guerra-Pujol, F. E. - 2014
Over a century ago, Oliver Wendell Holmes invited scholars to look at law through the lens of probability theory: ‘The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067657
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Bayesian Inference for Quantal Response Equilibrium in Normal-Form Games
Bland, James R. - 2021
This paper develops a framework for estimating Quantal Response Equilibrium models from experimental data using Bayesian techniques. Bayesian techniques offer some advantages over the more commonly-used maximum likelihood approach: (i) the accuracy of the posterior simulation is limited by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245678
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A Bayesian Theory of Games : An Analysis of Strategic Interactions with Statistical Decision Theoretic Foundation
Teng, Jimmy - 2012
set of games than current Nash Equilibrium based games theory, including games with inaccurate observations, games with … games analyzed by the current games theory, it generates far lesser equilibriums and normally generates only a unique … equilibrium. It also resolves inconsistencies in equilibrium results by different solution concepts in current games theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014172228