. Hence, empirical tests for predictions are necessary. A test is manipulable if a false expert can pass the test with a high … that there is a test that is not manipulable by any computable strategies and that accepts true experts with high … probabilities. In particular, the constructed test is both future independent (Olszewski and Sandroni, 2008) and sequential (Shmaya …

supporting evidences for the maintained assumptions of estimation using pooled data. In a Monte Carlo study we find that the test …