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This paper extends Savage's subjective approach to probability and utility from decision problems under exogenous uncertainty to choice in strategic environments. Interactive uncertainty is modeled both explicitly, using hierarchies of preference relations, the analogue of beliefs hierarchies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011700273
Beauchêne, Li, and Li (2019) show that ambiguous persuasion leads to new interim equilibria with higher ex ante value for the Sender compared to the standard Bayesian persuasion. However, in their equilibrium the strategy of the Receiver is in general not ex ante optimal. This note, defines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009891
. For both ambiguity averse and neutral subjects within this population, one significant channel is behavioral in nature … (anchoring). For ambiguity averse subjects, another channel of similar magnitude is hedging motivated by the desire to reduce … ambiguity. This channel is absent in the case of ambiguity neutral subjects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387552
A game-theoretic framework that allows for explicitly randomized strategies is used to study the e ect of ambiguity … predictions of two player games with ambiguity averse and with ambiguity neutral players are observationally equivalent. This … beliefs to the context of ambiguity aversion yields substantially di erent predictions even for the case with just two players. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270432
ambiguity may induce such behaviour.[...] …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009262201
We provide an axiomatic approach to a belief formation process in an informational environment characterized by limited, heterogenous and differently precise information. For a list of previously observed cases an agent needs to express her belief by assigning probabilities to possible outcomes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356678
We provide an evolutionary foundation to evidence that in some situations humans maintain either optimistic or pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty and are ignorant to relevant aspects of the environment. Players in strategic games face Knightian uncertainty about opponents' actions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101422
to dynamically consistent behavior. Furthermore, we give an example which shows that ambiguity can introduce new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011892219
This paper proposes that the ambiguity reflected by a set of priors remains unchanged when the set is translated within … the probability simplex, i.e. ambiguity is location invariant. This unifies and generalises numerous influential … definitions of ambiguity in the literature. Location invariance is applied to normal form games where players perceive strategic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015070507
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011498329