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This chapter is a very compressed review of the neoclassical orthodoxy on the nature of rationality on economic theory. It defends the orthodoxy both against the behavioral criticism that it assumes too much and the revisionist view that it assumes too little. In places, especially on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025458
The literature typically attributes the Allais Paradox to a violation of the Independence Axiom. We present experimental data showing that violations of the Reduction of Compound Lotteries Axiom are significantly more problematic, and our findings are robust to both choice and pricing tasks. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843741
We provide an axiomatic approach to a belief formation process in an informational environment characterized by limited, heterogenous and differently precise information. For a list of previously observed cases an agent needs to express her belief by assigning probabilities to possible outcomes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356678
We present a decision theory which models and axiomatizes a decision-making procedure. This procedure involves two steps: in the first step, for each action, some specific event which can bring about a relatively high outcome with a relatively high probability or a relatively low outcome with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943248
We study the problem of elicitation of subjective beliefs of an agent when the beliefs are ambiguous (the set of beliefs is a non-singleton set) and the agent's preference exhibits ambiguity aversion; in particular, as represented by alpha-maxmin preferences. We construct a direct revelation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969749
uncertainty to choice in strategic environments. Interactive uncertainty is modeled both explicitly, using hierarchies of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011700273
In Ellsberg paradox, decision makers that are partially informed about the actual probability distribution violate the expected utility paradigm. This paper develops a theory of decision making with a partially specified probability. The paper takes an axiomatic approach using Anscombe-Aumann's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058551
overlooked: the swiftness of formal sanctions. We consider two dimensions: the timing at which the uncertainty about whether one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012171815
We examine the risky choices of contestants in the popular TV game show “Deal or No Deal” and related classroom experiments. Contrary to the traditional view of expected utility theory, the choices can be explained in large part by previous outcomes experienced during the game. Risk aversion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348343
We report the results of an experimental test for feedback-conditional regret effects using a naturally occurring gamble. The properties of this gamble are likely to engage decision-makers to a greater extent than conventional abstract laboratory gambles, and be more generally exhibited by real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002807138