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Inspired by the social psychology literature, we study the implications of categorical thinking on decision making in the context of a large normal form game. Every agent has a categorization (partition) of her opponents and can only observe the average behavior in each category. A strategy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049187
We suggest that one individual holds multiple degrees of belief about an outcome, given the evidence. We then investigate the implications of such noisy probabilities for a buyer and a seller of binary options and find the odds agreed upon to ensure zero-expectation betting, differ from those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907302
Starting with a simple economic model of the value of civil litigation from each side's perspective, this paper analyses a wide range of potential litigation cost strategies, settlement offers and negotiations, together with relevant applications and insights from game theory. Specific issues...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014026078
We propose that there are three determinants of sender behavior in trust games: Beliefs re-garding the amounts returned, risk aversion, and reciprocity. Particularly, we are interested in the role of reciprocity because the possibility of negative expected reciprocal utility may lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056469
For two periods an expert E announces his forecast of the state to a decision-maker D who chooses action. They disagree about the precision of the probability assessments. At the end of period 1 the state is observed. In the last period E makes announcements more extreme than his forecasts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390247
The present paper introduces a model of dynamic equilibrium in a market, based on game theoretic approach, with specific development for capital markets and corporate strategies. The model allows to study some aspects of structural change in markets, both its dynamics and qualitative aspects. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159928
Two agents are engaged in a joint activity that yields a common perperiod payoff at two rounds of play. The expert announces the probability that the current state of the world is low, instead of high, at each stage. Having received the report of the expert, the decision-maker takes action at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008747722
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003947391
Delegation bears an intrinsic form of uncertainty. Investors hire managers for their superior models of asset markets, but delegation outcome is uncertain precisely because managers' model is unknown to investors. We model investors' delegation decision as a trade-off between asset return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976244
This paper argues that stress tests encompassing the entire banking sector (macro stress tests) can be designed to improve welfare. We develop a multi-receiver framework of Bayesian persuasion to show that a banking supervisor can create value when he commits to disclose the stress-testing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339955