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This study examines two determinants of investor sentiment (ex-ante evaluation of future value-related events and ex-post reaction to event outcomes) using the data on soccer games and betting odds. Results suggest that the magnitude and the character of investor reactions vary considerably...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020256
In this short note, we show investors one way to calculate ideal investment sizing by using two rules of thumb based on a simple outline of individual risk aversion. We illustrate these two heuristics, which are not widely appreciated, with thought experiments involving coin flips and ketchup &...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978604
We study the informational channel of financial contagion in the laboratory. In our experiment, two markets with correlated fundamentals open sequentially. In both markets, subjects receive private information. Subjects in the market opening second also observe the history of trades and prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488290
We examine how professional traders behave in two financial market experiments; we contrast professional traders' behavior to that of undergraduate students, the typical experimental subject pool. In our first experiment, both sets of participants trade an asset over multiple periods after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012259899
We study strategic disclosure timing by correlated firms in the presence of risk-averse investors. Firms delay disclosures in the hope that positively correlated firms will announce especially good news and lift their own price. Risk premia rise before disclosures, drop when disclosures occur,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447256
We model a financial market where some traders of a risky asset do not fully appreciate what prices convey about others' private information. Markets comprising solely such "cursed" traders generate more trade than those comprising solely rationals. Because rationals arbitrage distortions caused...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928331
Investors have preferences for local companies, as well as companies in connected cities. We develop a novel approach to exploit the geographic connections of investor watched stocks to identify latent city-to-city connections that influence geographic investment preferences in China. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252155
Hong, Kubik and Stein (JFE 2008) find that the price of a stock in the US is decreasing in the ratio of the aggregate book value of listed firms in a region to the aggregate personal income in the same region (“RATIO”), an “only-game-in-town” effect. We first replicate the HKS (2008)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115575
Earning forecasts disclosed by financial analysts are known to be overly optimistic. Since an investor relies on their expertise, the question arises whether he would take analyst recommendations at face value or instead structure consultation with differently upward-biased analysts in a way...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011824760
The first twenty years of the 21st century were a period of transformation and change in the development models of the financial market. One of the strongest in the history world financial crises of 2007-2008 ended the post-deregulation model. Transition to the new financial market model turned...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215736