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A key feature of communication with evidence is skepticism: to the extent possible, a receiver will attribute any incomplete disclosure to the sender concealing unfavorable evidence. The degree of skepticism depends on how much evidence the sender is expected to possess. I characterize when a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854235
The theory of voluntary disclosure of information posits that market forces lead senders to disclose information through a process of unravelling. This prediction requires that receivers hold correct beliefs and, in equilibrium, make adverse inferences about non-disclosed information. Previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024603
We study voluntary disclosure strategies in leader-follower games where firms choose real actions sequentially after simultaneously disclosing information. We show that the leader incurs an endogenous consistency cost when withholding information because it must choose a suboptimal real action...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237274
Managerial forecast disclosure has gained increasing interest. Besides voluntary publication, managers are more and more obliged to disclose forecasts by recent accounting regulation. This acknowledges the common proposition that forecasts were exceptionally relevant and decision useful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014029329
We analyze how public disclosure of informed investors' trades results in manipulation, which in turn affects coordination and competition in a duopolistic setting. We show that disclosure always increases market efficiency but its effect on informed investors' profit is ambiguous. When informed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006709
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777006
How much information about financial institutions' balance sheets should regulators pass on to the market? To minimize the probability of inefficient default, the regulator optimally designs a disclosure regime that imposes transparency when the firm has weak fundamentals and opacity, otherwise....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351306
This paper studies the incentives for interim voluntary disclosure of verifiable information in probabilistic all-pay contests. Provided that the contest is uniformly asymmetric, full revelation is the unique perfect Bayesian equilibrium outcome. This is so because the weakest type of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251018
We conduct an experimental analysis of pretrial bargaining, while allowing for the costly voluntary disclosure of private information in a screening game. In this game, the theoretical prediction is that costly voluntary disclosures will not occur. This hinges on the prediction that the person...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079903
Sellers often have the power to censor the reviews of their products. We explore the effect of these censorship policies in markets where some consumers are unaware of possible censorship. We find that if the share of such "naive" consumers is not too large, then rational consumers treat any bad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011941691