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In this paper the extended model of Minority game (MG), incorporating variable number of agents and therefore called Grand Canonical, is used for prediction. We proved that the best MG-based predictor is constituted by a tremendously degenerated system, when only one agent is involved. The...
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The real option theory provides a useful tool to evaluate an R&D investment under uncertainty because, unlike the NPV …. -- American Exchange options ; game theory ; Montecarlo simulation ; R&D ; information revelation …
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