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It has been established in the literature that volatility of stock returns exhibits complex properties of not only … volatility clustering, but also long memory, regime change, and substantial outliers during turbulent and calm periods. Hence …, this paper seeks to analyze volatility spillover, co-movements, independence and contagion in the Chinese, Japanese …
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access to credit to one characterized by tight credit whenever the bond risk premium exceeds a critical threshold. US …
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This paper proposes Spillover Persistence as a measure for financial fragility. The volatility paradox predicts that … fragility builds up when volatility is low, which challenges existing measures. Spillover Persistence tackles this challenge by … exploring a novel dimension of systemic risk: loss dynamics. I document that Spillover Persistence declines when fragility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499703
This survey features three parts. The first one covers the recent literature on domestic (i.e., country-specific) uncertainty and offers ten main takeaways. The second part reviews contributions on the fast-growing strand of the literature focusing on the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119543
We study the link between the global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks using quantile vector autoregressions. Contractionary shocks to financial conditions and monetary policy in the United States cause elevated downside risks to growth around the world. By tightening financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459721
determines the variables which are responsible for volatility: the activities of international financial institutions (like the …
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