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Shocks to capital utilization are introduced in a structural macroeconomic closed-economy model with financial frictions to capture disruptions on the ability of the capital stock to provide capital services used in production. Estimates for the Euro Area and the United States show that these...
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Deutschland ist in der Rezession. Zentrale Ursache dafür ist die schwache Entwicklung der Weltwirtschaft. Die … Bruttoinlandsprodukts in Deutschland um etwas mehr als ein Prozent. Einen solch großen Einbruch hat es - auf ein Kalenderjahr bezogen … Sozialversicherungsbeiträge der Arbeitgeber zum Kurzarbeitergeld zunächst befristet für ein Jahr übernehmen, um den Druck auf den Arbeitsmarkt zu …
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The economic upswing in Germany continues, although the expansion loses some steam. Compared to our summer forecast, we reduced our expectations for GDP growth by 0.1 and 0.3 percentage points in the current and next year, respectively, to 1.9 percent (2018) and 2.0 percent (2019). So for now,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060514
The air for the economic upswing in Germany is getting thinner. We expect German GDP to grow by 2.5 percent this year and by 2.3 percent in 2019 after an increase of 2.2 percent in 2017. With capacity utilization already above normal levels at the current juncture, our forecast implies that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060677
The momentum of the expansion of the German economy is strong. Unchanged from our winter and spring forecasts, we expect a rise in gross domestic product by 1.7 percent in the current year and by 2 percent in 2018. This implies that throughout the forecasting period the expansion of aggregate...
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This study develops a stylised DSGE model, that departs in one aspect: it replaces the general equilibrium approach by disequilibrium economics. In this way, richer macroeconomic adjustment dynamics result, as it is not necessary to assume that goods and labour markets continuously clear. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096548
This paper introduces a new comprehensive data set on policies of a macroprudential nature in the banking sectors of the 28 member states of the European Union (EU) between 1995 and 2014. The Macroprudential Policies Evaluation Database (MaPPED) offers a detailed overview of the "life-cycle" of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779845