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The estimation and the analysis of long memory parameters have mainly focused on the analysis of long-range dependence in stock return volatility using traditional time and spectral domain estimators of long memory. The definitive ubiquity and existence of long memory in the volatility of stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920334
We derive computationally simple and intuitive score tests of neglected serial correlation in unobserved component univariate models using frequency domain techniques. In some common situations in which the alternative model information matrix is singular under the null, we derive one-sided...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458802
This paper considers the large sample behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator of random effects models with serial correlation in the form of AR(1) for the idiosyncratic or time-specific error component. Consistent estimation and asymptotic normality as N and/or T grows large is established...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001600056
Observed macroeconomic data – notably GDP growth rate, inflation and interest rates – can be, and usually are skewed. Economists attempt to fit models to data by matching first and second moments or co-moments, but skewness is usually neglected. It is so probably because skewness cannot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117512
This paper uses wavelet theory to propose a frequency domain nonparametric and tuning parameter free family of unit root tests indexed by the fractional parameter d. The proposed test exploits the wavelet power spectrum of the observed series and its fractional partial sum to construct a test of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065650
Conventional tests of present-value models over-reject the null of no predictability. In order to better account for …-dividend ratios and dividend growth. We find evidence of return predictability, but no apparent evidence of dividend growth … predictability in postwar US data, thus reconciling the diverging conclusions in the literature. Our findings are robust to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684124
Recent releases of X-13ARIMA-SEATS and JDemetra+ enable their users to choose between the non-parametric X-11 and the parametric ARIMA model-based approach to seasonal adjustment for any given time series without the necessity of switching between different software packages. To ease the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011452778
Over the past few years, we have seen an increased need for analyzing the dynamically changing behaviors of economic and financial time series. These needs have led to significant demand for methods that denoise non-stationary time series across time and for specific investment horizons (scales)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842654
The investment fund replication techniques and related financial product have been developed in recent years. It is understood that investing in the replicated fund can help investors gain similar returns without suffering drawbacks of the target fund. However, it is difficult to produce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850904
A growing number of empirical studies provides evidence that dynamic properties of macroeconomic time series have been changing over time. Model-based procedures for the measurement of business cycles should therefore allow model parameters to adapt over time. In this paper the time dependencies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350381