This paper formulates dynamic density functions, based upon skewed-t and similar representations, to model and forecast electricity price spreads between different hours of the day. This supports an optimal day ahead storage and discharge schedule, and thereby facilitates a bidding strategy for...

This paper compares two methods for undertaking likelihood-based inference in dynamic equilibrium economies: a Sequential Monte Carlo filter proposed by Fernandez-Villaverde and Rubio-Ramirez (2004) and the Kalman filter. The Sequential Monte Carlo filter exploits the nonlinear structure of the...

For p 4 and one observation X on a p-dimensional spherically symmetric distribution, minimax estimators of Theta whose risks are smaller than the risk of X (the best invariant estimator) are found when the loss is a nondecreasing concave function of quadratic loss. For n observations X1, X2, ......

This paper considers sampling proportional to expected size from a partly unknown distribution. The applied context is the exploration for undiscovered resources, like oil accumulations in different deposits, where the most promising deposits are likely to be drilled first, based on some...

This paper considers the problem of point prediction based on a predictive distribution, representing the uncertainty about the outcome. The issue explored is the reporting of a single characteristic, typically the mean, the median or the mode, in the context of a skewed distribution and...

In this paper, we study the finite sample accuracy of confidence intervals for index functional built via parametric bootstrap, in the case of inequality indices. To estimate the parameters of the assumed parametric data generating distribution, we propose a Generalized Method of Moment...

Insurance claims data usually contains a large number of zeros and exhibits fat-tail behavior. Misestimation of one end of the tail impacts the other end of the tail of the claims distribution; such can affect both the adequacy of premiums and needed reserves to hold. In addition, insured...

Families of minimax estimators are found for the location parameter of a p-variate (pgt; or = 3) spherically symmetric unimodal(s.s.u.)distribution with respect to general quadratic loss. The estimators of James and Stein, Baranchik, Bock and Strawderman are all considered for this general...

Supplementary Appendix is available at: "https://ssrn.com/abstract=2970015" https://ssrn.com/abstract=2970015. Decision making in finance often requires an accurate estimate of the coskewness matrix to optimize the allocation to random variables with asymmetric distributions. The classical...

In extreme value statistics, the tail index is an important measure to gauge the heavy-tailed behavior of a distribution. Under Pareto-type distributions, we employ the logarithmic function to link the tail index to the linear predictor induced by covariates, which constitutes the tail index...