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Actual portfolios contain fewer stocks than are implied by standard financial analysis that balances the costs of diversification against the benefits in terms of the standard deviation of the returns. Suppose a safety first investor cares about downside risk and recognizes the heavytail feature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381335
Financial contagion and systemic risk measures are commonly derived from conditional quantiles by using imposed model assumptions such as a linear parametrization. In this paper, we provide model free measures for contagion and systemic risk which are independent of the specifcation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309638
We provide an extreme value analysis of the returns of Bitcoin. A particular focus is on the tail risk characteristics and we will provide an in-depth univariate extreme value analysis. Those properties will be compared to the traditional exchange rates of the G10 currencies versus the US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935265
We present a framework focused on the interdependence of high-dimensional tail events. This framework allows us to analyze and quantify tail interdependence at different levels of extremity, decompose it into systemic and residual part and to measure the contribution of a constituent to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827047
We present a framework focused on the interdependence of high-dimensional tail events. This framework allows us to analyse and quantify tail interdependence at different levels of extremity, decompose it into systemic and residual part and to measure the contribution of a constituent to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865245
In this article we present the motivation and methodology behind the Tail Risk Model for Equities. This model provides portfolio managers with reports on tail risk measures, such as VaR and Expected Shortfall in a non‐normal setting, and attributes risk to individual securities and factors. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989959
Empirical distributions of financial data are frequently observed to have “heavy tails”, i.e. a greater probability of extreme events than can be accounted for by the standard normal distribution. Non-normal modeling of the tails is therefore a topic of active research in risk management....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993672
I provide a measure of time-varying tail risk in credit markets based on a dynamic power-law model. Credit tail risk is estimated from extreme price fluctuations of credit default swaps (CDS) on government debt. Tail returns are described by a power-law for core and peripheral countries within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244546
Under the new regulation based on Basel solvency framework, known as Basel III and Basel IV, financial institutions must calculate the market risk capital requirements based on the Expected Shortfall (ES) measure, replacing the Value at Risk (VaR) measure. In the financial literature, there are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235034
Using a comprehensive international trade data set we investigate empirical regularities (known as Zipf’s Law or the rank-size rule) for the distribution of the interaction between countries as measured by revealed comparative advantage. Using the recently developed estimator by Gabaix and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349703